writeaboutwarming

February 18, 2014 – A new El Nino prediction method is stirring up controversy.   Developed by researchers from Germany, Russia, Israel and the U.S., they maintain they can predict El Nino events with 76% accuracy up to a year in advance.   The current method has yet to surmount a so-called ”spring predictability barrier,” thereby limiting forecasts to a six month lead time. As a reminder, El Nino’s begin in the Pacific Ocean, off the equatorial coast of South America, which includes the countries of Ecuador and Peru.   The water of the ocean in this location heats up.   They have increased in severity over the years, causing climatic chaos around the world.   Hot, humid weather in the U.S. and South America, along with heavy rain, often leads to flooding on these two continents.   The opposite effect takes hold in southeast Asia and Australia, where intense drought has lead to greatly extended wildfire seasons.   El Nino’s are actually p...